Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 25?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

+8.0pp

24h Vol

$2.1K

Liquidity

$34.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 8.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Momentum up

    Probability moved up 8.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    HIGH
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 39.7pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolved 0h ago

    HIGH
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 36.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 31.7pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 30.4pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).