Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 25?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.3pp
24h
+8.0pp
24h Vol
$2.1K
Liquidity
$34.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 8.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:14SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 8.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 16:14SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.7pp
to 100¢
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.2pp
to 100¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.7pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.4pp
to 99¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 95¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 95¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 95¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 93¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 93¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 93¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 94¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 95¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 91¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 92¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 84¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
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