Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 29?
Probability
63¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$50.00
Liquidity
$7.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 63¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 86h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 85.8h
- 02:09SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 86h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-5.0pp over the last 24h, now 63¢.
Biggest hourly move: +10.5pp at 05:00 (to 78¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 02:00 · +6.5pp → 63¢
- 00:00 · +7.5pp → 65¢
- 17:00 · +7.5pp → 65¢
- 15:00 · +8.5pp → 67¢
- 14:00 · +8.0pp → 68¢
- 11:00 · +6.0pp → 69¢
- 09:00 · +6.0pp → 69¢
- 05:00 · +10.5pp → 78¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.