Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 27?
Probability
7¢
1h
-3.5pp
24h
-9.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 7¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 47h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 47h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 47 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 47.1h
- 16:56SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 47h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 7¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 10¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 11¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 11¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 13¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 14¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 14¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 15¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 14¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 14¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.