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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 25?

Probability

1h

-0.4pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$17.1K

Liquidity

$19.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-50.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $19.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    HIGH
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -5.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -48.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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