The market moved

-14.0ppin 24h · now

Will Daniel Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $85.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 18.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-14.0pp · Will Daniel Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship? | Orrery