The market moved
-8.9ppin 24h · now 15¢
Will Ryan Lenahan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $43.43
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 24.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.