The market moved

-38.5ppin 24h · now

Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 23.5

Sports · resolves May 22 · vol $94.74

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 38.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official atp statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official ATP statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.