The market moved
-50.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Smith vs. Jones: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $19.61
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
