The market moved

-34.0ppin 24h · now 16¢

BNB Up or Down on May 16?

Other · resolves May 16 · vol $207.68

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 34.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.