The market moved
-0.6ppin 24h · now 2¢
Exact Score: FC St. Pauli 1910 3 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg?
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $5.58
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.