The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 28¢

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Sports · resolves May 13 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 9.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.5pp · Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? | Orrery