The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 43¢

Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)

Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $392.14

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.