The market moved

-45.5ppin 24h · now

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $371.23

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 45.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 0.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-45.5pp · Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Orrery