The market moved

+12.0ppin 24h · now 29¢

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 17?

Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $204.61

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 29¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 28.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+12.0pp · Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 17? | Orrery