The market moved
+26.5ppin 24h · now 87¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?
Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $994.01
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.