The market moved
-3.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 13?
Weather · resolves May 13 · vol $2.3K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 4.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.