The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 85¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $712.56
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 85¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 34.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.