The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now 19¢

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 13?

Weather · resolves May 13 · vol $769.05

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 19¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-5.5pp · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 13? | Orrery