The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 37¢

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?

Weather · resolves May 13 · vol $299.80

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+1.0pp · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13? | Orrery