The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 14?

Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 25.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.4pp · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 14? | Orrery