The market moved
-11.0ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 17?
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $1.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.