The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
SSC Bari vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $494.14
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.