The market moved
+34.5ppin 24h · now 41¢
Spread: AC Monza (-2.5)
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $34.01
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 41¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.