The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
SS Juve Stabia vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $98.64
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.