The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now

Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Other · resolves May 19 · vol $5.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 6¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.