The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Other · resolves May 15 · vol $657.33
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 25.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.