The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Gwangju FC leading at halftime?

Other · resolves May 16 · vol $53.30

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 44.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.5pp · Gwangju FC leading at halftime? | Orrery