The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 45¢
Incheon United FC leading at halftime?
Other · resolves May 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 42.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.