The market moved

-40.5ppin 24h · now

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?

Sports · resolves May 13 · vol $55.04

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 40.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 1.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-40.5pp · Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? | Orrery