The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 41¢

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $3.24

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 21.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.