The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?
Weather · resolves May 16 · vol $37.77
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov.hk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov.hk — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.