The market moved

+12.5ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 18?

Weather · resolves May 18 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 27¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+12.5pp · Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 18? | Orrery