The market moved

+20.5ppin 24h · now 53¢

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?

Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $48.20

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 53¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+20.5pp · Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17? | Orrery