The market moved

-10.5ppin 24h · now

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 19?

Weather · resolves May 19 · vol $69.09

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.