The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 14?
Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $13.16
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
