The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 16?
Weather · resolves May 16 · vol $2.4K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.