The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 17?

Weather · resolves May 17 · vol $9.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.5pp · Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 17? | Orrery