The market moved

-9.5ppin 24h · now

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 19?

Weather · resolves May 19 · vol $8.55

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.