The market moved
-2.9ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $305.40
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.