The market moved

-2.9ppin 24h · now

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?

Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $305.40

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.