The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 15?

Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $16.56

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.