The market moved

-8.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 19?

Weather · resolves May 19 · vol $28.47

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.