The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 14?
Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $633.33
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 31.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
