The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 46¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
Sports · resolves May 22 · vol $583.42
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 46¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.