The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 38¢
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $483.67
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 38¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.