The market moved
-20.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $105.93
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.9pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.