The market moved

-53.4ppin 24h · now

Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5

Sports · resolves May 12 · vol $234.88

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 53.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nba.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: NBA.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-53.4pp · Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 | Orrery