The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 50¢
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5
Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $147.06
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nba.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NBA.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.