The market moved
-20.5ppin 24h · now 63¢
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $130.18
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nba.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NBA.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 27.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.