The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Perpignan win?
Other · resolves May 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source on Polymarket — the market description names where settlement comes from.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
