The market moved

-31.6ppin 24h · now

Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Other · resolves May 22 · vol $26.68

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.6pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.